Public paper · October 7, 2026 · NHC Advisory 3 · 4:00 a.m. CDT
Tropical Storm Isaias, NHC Advisory 3
National Hurricane Center Advisory 3, 4:00 a.m. CDT Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Tropical Storm Isaias is near 22.0N 94.1W with 40 mph winds, moving east-northeast at 8 mph, about 580 miles southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River. The forecast brings a hurricane to the central Gulf and an approach to the northern Gulf Coast on Friday.
Incident history
Update · Oct. 7, 2026 · 4:00 a.m. CDT
Advisory 3
At 4:00 a.m. CDT on October 7, 2026, Tropical Storm Isaias was near 22.0N 94.1W with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, moving east-northeast at 8 mph, about 580 miles southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River. No coastal watches or warnings were in effect. Hurricane watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf coast later today. Rapid strengthening is forecast. The storm is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday and to peak near 95 kt over the central Gulf. The forecast approach to the U.S. northern Gulf Coast is Friday, with track spread from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches, locally up to 10, is forecast for that coast from Friday through the weekend.
National Hurricane Center Public Advisory 3, TCPAT4, 4:00 a.m. CDT October 7, 2026. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/ Forecast discussion MIATCDAT4. Graphics https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml
noticenearby.com/papers/tropical-storm-isaias-advisory-3-oct-7-2026.pdf
At 4:00 a.m. CDT (0900 UTC) on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was near latitude 22.0 north, longitude 94.1 west. That is about 285 miles west of Progreso, Mexico, and about 580 miles southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Maximum sustained winds were near 40 mph. The storm was moving east-northeast near 8 mph. Minimum central pressure was 1004 mb.
There were no coastal watches or warnings in effect at that advisory. The National Hurricane Center said hurricane watches will likely be required for a portion of the U.S. northern Gulf coast later today. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula and along the northern Gulf Coast should monitor the forecast.
A continued east-northeast motion was expected Wednesday, then a turn toward the northeast and north on Thursday and Friday. On that track, Isaias is expected to pass north of the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday and approach the U.S. northern Gulf Coast on Friday. The track guidance still spreads from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle.
Rapid strengthening is forecast. Isaias is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday. The intensity forecast peaks near 95 kt, about 110 mph, in 48 hours over the central Gulf. Shear increases before the coast. The discussion says a significant hurricane at landfall is looking more likely.
From Friday through the weekend, rainfall of 3 to 6 inches, with localized totals up to 10 inches, is forecast from far southeastern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. One to 3 inches, locally up to 5, is possible across much of the Southeast as far north as the Tennessee Valley and the Carolinas. Flash and urban flooding, and isolated river flooding, will be possible.
Official products
Public advisory: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/
Five-day cone: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?cone
Key messages: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?key_messages
GOES-19 GeoColor, Gulf sector: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G19§or=gm
Forecast discussion: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/
What this paper is
This page is a Notice Nearby register note of Advisory 3. It is not a warning from the National Weather Service, not an evacuation order, and not a county emergency declaration. Watches, warnings, and evacuation zones come from the National Hurricane Center and from the county or parish emergency manager.
County hubs from Louisiana through the Florida Panhandle carry an Emergency Services strip while this event is on. The strip points at county emergency management, the Red Cross, and these NHC products. It collapses to a slim bar when the trigger clears.
Not legal advice. Not a newspaper. Not Legal Publication. Record of Sale, LLC (Oregon).